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Private markets
In a YouTube channel roll-up the money is made at the entry price, not the exit, and the risk sits with the host, not the multiple. Ten channels bought at 4.0x earn a 27.5% base-case equity IRR on a 9.0x exit; if acquired audiences shrink about 10% a year, the gain is gone. Selective.

In a YouTube channel roll-up the money is made at the entry price, not the exit, and the risk sits with the host, not the multiple. Ten channels bought at 4.0x earn a 27.5% base-case equity IRR on a 9.0x exit; if acquired audiences shrink about 10% a year, the gain is gone. Selective.
What’s inside

Initiating at Overweight with a Dec-27 price target of €72. Shaodong makes about 70% of the world’s lighters at a profit of one fen each; BIC’s lighter division earned €216M of adj. EBIT in 2025, at least €0.10 a lighter. The moat is the rulebook, not the factory.

A social-media post says SpaceX cannot launch without Honeywell, Hexcel, STMicroelectronics, Carpenter Technology and Redwire. We checked each claim against filings, earnings calls and SpaceX’s prospectus: only STMicro’s Starlink chip business is confirmed and material.

Initiating at Underweight with a Dec-27 price target of $44. CoreWeave’s backlog is real; the problem is the spread. We estimate a new megawatt earns a ~5% unlevered return, below the ~9% CoreWeave now pays on secured project debt.